[MONSA]

// strategy template

GARP

Growth at a Reasonable Price - growing businesses whose valuation hasn't run away.

// the lines that end the argument

One criterion is hard: fail it and the score is capped no matter how well everything else scores.

  • PEG ≤ 1.50

What gets measured

CriterionNeedsWeight
PEGhardP/E divided by expected earnings growth.≤ 1.50partial credit to 2.2515%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.
P/E (TTM)Price to trailing twelve-month earnings.≤ 25.00partial credit to 30.0010%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.
Revenue growth YoYMost recent quarter revenue vs. a year ago.≥ 10.0%partial credit to 7.0%13%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.
EPS growth YoYMost recent quarter EPS vs. a year ago.≥ 10.0%partial credit to 7.0%10%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.
EPS CAGR 3yThree-year EPS compound annual growth.≥ 10.0%partial credit to 7.0%12%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.
ROICAfter-tax operating income over invested capital.≥ 12.0%partial credit to 9.0%10%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.
Net debt / EBITDATotal debt minus cash, over EBITDA (TTM).≤ 2.00partial credit to 2.508%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.
Operating marginOperating income over revenue (TTM).≥ 12.0%partial credit to 9.0%8%Missing: the criterion is skipped and its weight is dropped.

Weight is each criterion's share of the whole rule-set, rounded for display. Every figure here comes from the same file the product scores with - the page cannot say one thing while the terminal does another.

What needs judgment

Durable competitive advantage

10%

Structural moat: switching costs, network effects, brand, scale. Growth must be defensible, not cyclical.

Management execution track record

6%

Capital allocation discipline and delivery against previously stated targets.

These are the criteria a formula cannot settle. The AI judges them against the guidance above and shows its reasoning next to the verdict; the arithmetic stays with the deterministic rules.

Rules about the portfolio, not the stock

  • No single position above 10% of the portfolio.
  • No sector above 35% of the portfolio.

These are checked against the book as a whole. A holding can clear every criterion above and still put the portfolio in breach by being too large.

Before you take it as given

This rule-set is a starting point. The moment a portfolio applies it, every threshold, weight and hard line is yours to move - and most people should move them, because the thresholds that make sense for a concentrated book are not the ones that make sense for a wide one.

It has not been backtested and Monsa does not claim it works. What Monsa does is narrower and checkable: hold these rules, and every night it will tell you which of your holdings still clear them and which quietly stopped.

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